Kape vs. Horiguchi UFC Fight Night 279 Odds and Picks
This Saturday, UFC Fight Night 279 will feature a exciting 5-round flyweight bout between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the main card at 8 p.m. ET, available to stream on Paramount+. Let’s take a closer look at the matchups and odds for this highly anticipated event.
Manel Kape is on an impressive winning streak, with three consecutive victories by KO/TKO, including a standout Round-1 win over Brandon Royval in his last fight in December 2025. Kape has won seven of his last eight fights, five of them by knockout, since August 2021.
Kyoji Horiguchi is coming off a victory over Amir Albazi in February and a submission win over Tagir Ulanbekov in his UFC return in November 2025. Horiguchi previously had a successful stint with the company from 2013 to 2016, with a record of 7-1, including a title fight against Demetrious Johnson.
The previous encounter between Kape and Horiguchi at Rizin FF in 2017 saw Horiguchi emerge victorious with a submission via arm triangle in Round 3. Kape holds a 5-inch reach advantage and leads in significant strikes landed per minute with a 5.04-to-3.77 edge over Horiguchi. He also has a higher accuracy percentage on strikes.
According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the odds for the fight result stand at Kape -145 (bet $145 to win $100) and Horiguchi +120 (bet $100 to win $120). The total rounds over/under is set at 4.5, with the under at -105 and the over at -125. The possibility of the fight going the distance is equally split at -115 for both yes and no.
In terms of predictions, Kape is favored due to his recent success and knockout power. Betting on Kape to win and considering a method of victory in favor of Kape by KO/TKO, DQ, or submission could be intriguing at +150 on the 5-way line. For the total rounds, betting on under 4.5 rounds at -105 is advisable for those expecting a stoppage.
For more information and insights on UFC Fight Night 279 and other fight news, visit MMA Junkie. Stay tuned for live action on Saturday and enjoy the thrilling bouts!
